A hypothetical 160-acre section in a growing Parker County community. Each square represents approximately 2.5 acres. Over 15 years of incremental zoning changes, the land use profile shifts dramatically — often without a single comprehensive plan vote.
2010
Original zoning — mostly residential + vacant
15 YEARS23 rezoning votes
2025
After incremental rezoning decisions
Tax Base Impact Over Time
How shifting land use percentages compound into dramatically different fiscal outcomes. Based on a hypothetical 160-acre area at a blended tax rate of $0.50 per $100 assessed value.
Year
Residential
Commercial
Mixed-Use
Industrial
Vacant
Assessed Value
Annual Tax Revenue
Revenue / Acre
Key takeaway: Over 15 years, tax revenue per acre increased 348% — from $1,319 to $5,913. But the residential share dropped from 62% to 30%, meaning original homeowners bear proportionally less of the tax burden while receiving more services funded by commercial growth. The question is whether those services match what residents actually need.
Hypothetical scenario for illustrative purposes. Based on composite data from Texas Comptroller property tax records, Parker County Appraisal District valuations, and municipal budget documents. Actual results vary by jurisdiction, tax rate, and market conditions.